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Former investment bank FX trader: news trading and second order thinking
| || | submitted by getmrmarket to Forex [link] [comments]
Thanks to everyone who responded to the previous pieces on risk management
. We ended up with nearly 2,000 upvotes and I'm delighted so many of you found it useful.
This time we're going to focus on a new area: reacting to and trading around news and fundamental developments.
A lot of people get this totally wrong and the main reason is that they trade the news at face value, without considering what the market had already priced in. If you've ever seen what you consider to be "good" or "better than forecast" news come out and yet been confused as the pair did nothing or moved in the opposite direction to expected, read on...
We are going to do this in two parts. Part I
- Why use an economic calendar
- How to read the calendar
- Knowing what's priced in
- Rates decisions
- First order thinking vs second order thinking
Knowing how to use and benefit from the economic calendar is key for all traders - not just news traders.
In this chapter we are going to take a practical look at how to use the economic calendar. We are also going to look at how to interpret news using second order thinking.
The key concept is learning what has already been ‘priced in’ by the market so we can estimate how the market price might react to the new information.
Why use an economic calendar
The economic calendar contains all the scheduled economic releases for that day and week. Even if you purely trade based on technical analysis, you still must know what is in store.
Why? Three main reasons.
Firstly, releases can help provide direction. They create
trends. For example if GBPUSD has been fluctuating aimlessly within a range and suddenly the Bank of England starts raising rates you better believe the British Pound will start to move. Big news events often start long-term trends which you can trade around.
Secondly, a lot of the volatility occurs around these events. This is because these events give the market new information. Prior to a big scheduled release like the US Non Farm Payrolls you might find no one wants to take a big position. After it is released the market may move violently and potentially not just in a single direction - often prices may overshoot and come back down. Even without a trend this volatility provides lots of trading opportunities for the day trader.
Finally, these releases can change
trends. Going into a huge release because of a technical indicator makes little sense. Everything could reverse and stop you out in a moment. You need to be aware of which events are likely to influence the positions you have on so you can decide whether to keep the positions or flatten exposure before the binary event for which you have no edge.
Most traders will therefore ‘scan’ the calendar for the week ahead, noting what the big events are and when they will occur. Then you can focus on each day at a time.
Reading the economic calendar
Most calendars show events cut by trading day. Helpfully they adjust the time of each release to your own timezone. For example we can see that the Bank of Japan Interest Rate decision is happening at 4am local time for this particular London-based trader.
Note that some events do not happen at a specific time. Think of a Central Banker’s speech for example - this can go on for an hour. It is not like an economic statistic that gets released at a precise time. Clicking the finger emoji will open up additional information on each event.
How do you define importance? Well, some events are always unimportant. With the greatest of respect to Italian farmers, nobody cares about mundane releases like Italian farm productivity figures.
Other events always seem to be important. That means, markets consistently react to them and prices move. Interest rate decisions are an example of consistently high importance events.
So the Medium and High can be thought of as guides to how much each event typically affects markets. They are not perfect guides, however, as different events are more or less important depending on the circumstances.
For example, imagine the UK economy was undergoing a consumer-led recovery. The Central Bank has said it would raise interest rates (making GBPUSD move higher) if they feel the consumer is confident.
Consumer confidence data would suddenly become an extremely important event. At other times, when the Central Bank has not said it is focused on the consumer, this release might be near irrelevant.
Knowing what's priced in
Next to each piece of economic data you can normally see three figures. Actual, Forecast, and Previous.
- Actual refers to the number as it is released.
- Forecast refers to the consensus estimate from analysts.
- Previous is what it was last time.
We are going to look at this in a bit more detail later but what you care about is when numbers are better or worse than expected. Whether a number is ‘good’ or ‘bad’ really does not matter much. Yes, really.
Once you understand that markets move based on the news vs expectations, you will be less confused by price action around events
This is a common misunderstanding. Say everyone is expecting ‘great’ economic data and it comes out as ‘good’. Does the price go up?
You might think it should. After all, the economic data was good. However, everyone expected it to be great and it was just … good. The great release was ‘priced in’ by the market already. Most likely the price will be disappointed and go down.
By priced in we simply mean that the market expected it and already bought or sold. The information was already in the price before
Incidentally the official forecasts can be pretty stale and might not accurately capture what active traders in the market expect. See the following example.
An example of pricing in
For example, let’s say the market is focused on the number of Tesla deliveries. Analysts think it’ll be 100,000 this quarter. But Elon Musk tweets something that hints he’s really, really, really looking forward to the analyst call. Tesla’s price ticks higher after the tweet as traders put on positions, reflecting the sentiment that Tesla is likely to massively beat the 100,000. (This example is not a real one - it just serves to illustrate the concept.)
Tesla deliveries are up hugely vs last quarter ... but they are disappointing vs market expectations ... what do you think will happen to the stock?
On the day it turns out Tesla hit 101,000. A better than the officially forecasted result - sure - but only marginally. Way below what readers of Musk's twitter account might have thought. Disappointed traders may sell their longs and close out the positions. The stock might go down on ‘good’ results because the market had priced in something even better. (This example is not a real one - it just serves to illustrate the concept.)
It can be a little hard to know what the market really expects. Often the published forecasts are stale and do not reflect what actual traders and investors are looking for.
One of the most effective ways is a simple survey of investors. Something like a Twitter poll like this one from CNBC is freely available and not a bad barometer. CNBC, Bloomberg and other business TV stations often have polls on their Twitter accounts that let you know what others are expecting
Interest rates decisions
We know that interest rates heavily affect currency prices.
For major interest rate decisions there’s a great tool on the CME’s website
that you can use.
See the link for a demo
This gives you a % probability of each interest rate level, implied by traded prices in the bond futures market. For example, in the case above the market thinks there’s a 20% chance the Fed will cut rates to 75-100bp.
Obviously this is far more accurate than analyst estimates because it uses actual bond prices where market participants are directly taking risk and placing bets. It basically looks at what interest rate traders are willing to lend at just before/after the date of the central bank meeting to imply the odds that the market ascribes to a change on that date.
Always try to estimate what the market has priced in. That way you have some context for whether the release really was better or worse than expected.
Second order thinking
You have to know what the market expects to try and guess how it’ll react. This is referred to by Howard Marks of Oaktree as second-level thinking. His explanation is so clear I am going to quote extensively.
It really is hard to improve on this clarity of thought: First-level thinking is simplistic and superficial, and just about everyone can do it (a bad sign for anything involving an attempt at superiority). All the first-level thinker needs is an opinion about the future, as in “The outlook for the company is favorable, meaning the stock will go up.” Second-level thinking is deep, complex and convoluted. Howard Marks
He explains first-level thinking: The first-level thinker simply looks for the highest quality company, the best product, the fastest earnings growth or the lowest p/e ratio. He’s ignorant of the very existence of a second level at which to think, and of the need to pursue it. Howard Marks
The above describes the guy who sees a 101,000 result and buys Tesla stock because - hey, this beat expectations. Marks goes on to describe second-level thinking: The second-level thinker goes through a much more complex process when thinking about buying an asset. Is it good? Do others think it’s as good as I think it is? Is it really as good as I think it is? Is it as good as others think it is? Is it as good as others think others think it is? How will it change? How do others think it will change? How is it priced given: its current condition; how do I think its conditions will change; how others think it will change; and how others think others think it will change? And that’s just the beginning. No, this isn’t easy. Howard Marks
In this version of events you are always thinking about the market’s response to Tesla results.
What do you think they’ll announce? What has the market priced in? Is Musk reliable? Are the people who bought because of his tweet likely to hold on if he disappoints or exit immediately? If it goes up at which price will they take profit? How big a number is now considered ‘wow’ by the market?
As Marks says: not easy. However, you need to start getting into the habit of thinking like this if you want to beat the market. You can make gameplans in advance for various scenarios.
Here are some examples from Marks to illustrate the difference between first order and second order thinking.
Some further examples
Trying to react fast to headlines is impossible in today’s market of ultra fast computers. You will never win on speed. Therefore you have to out-think
the average participant.
Coming up in part II
Now that we have a basic understanding of concepts such as expectations and what the market has priced in, we can look at some interesting trading techniques and tools. Part II
- Preparing for quantitative and qualitative releases
- Data surprise index
- Using recent events to predict future reactions
- Buy the rumour, sell the fact
- The trimming position effect
- Some key FX releases
Hope you enjoyed this note. As always, please reply with any questions/feedback - it is fun to hear from you.
*** Disclaimer:This content is not investment advice and you should not place any reliance on it. The views expressed are the author's own and should not be attributed to any other person, including their employer.
I joined IM Academy, realized it was a pyramid scheme, told my “team”, and they kicked me out of the team. Lol
I joined IM Academy after seeing somebody that I follow on both Instagram and Twitter, posting about joining their forex trading group. I was so amped up, after seeing the individual post a screen recorded video of them making $250 in 7 seconds on MetaTrader 4. I couldn’t wait to join! submitted by Jacquan1997 to antiMLM [link] [comments]
BOOM!. Stimulus checks come in. I vowed to invest my $235 as an investment fee for this group. My bank kept declining the transaction, so I called the head of the security department and aired them out so I could invest my $235 and make money already! Then, I finally had access to this investment group after a long morning of trying to get my transaction to go through. I was thrown into a group chat, then told to download Telegram and Zoom from the AppStore. Pretty much, after that, I felt like I was living the dream. I had my foot in the door in the forex trading market.
I’ve been investing for 3-4 years, starting with cryptocurrency, to the stock market, now forex trading with an “investment group”. For the days following, my time was spent being on pointless zoom calls, made up of “millionaires”, and like-minded people just giving motivational speeches all day. None of these calls ever consisted of how to trade, or how to read the graphs/charts, or anything pertaining to actually making money. They were always focused on getting you to recruit people. My team, they were especially hyped on the idea of recruiting people. They would always talk about living the lavish life, once they reach the highest rank in IM Academy, which was a Chairman position.
In my eyes, I knew damn well none of us were going to ever make that big of an impact. I started to connect the dots within this organization, then I figured that nothing seemed right. I went on the website, cancelled my subscription and then deactivated my account 2 nights ago, all before the 7 day “free trial” period they supposedly give you. Hopefully I get a refund.
But wait, there’s more!
So, after contemplating for what seemed like days, I finally hop in my group chat with my “family”, tell them how much I liked them (which I actually did), and told them that I think that IM Academy is a pyramid scheme. I told them valid reasons, as well as pulling up factual information, such as the CFTC court documents against iMarkets Live in 2018. They all put laughing emojis, and told me that I was tripping, and that there’s a huge difference between an MLM and a pyramid scheme. After that, I knew I was working with a bunch of dickheads who were too absorbed into the company to face the reality at hand. I then got aired out by my mentor, got called an embarrassment, and a fraud for bringing “fake energy” into the family. I was appalled, because I couldn’t believe they thought I was trying to bring down “the family”. I was telling them what it was straight up, and their reaction told me that they really believed they’d be making millions of dollars under IM Academy.
I’m someone who does research before making investments, and this was the only time in my life that I didn’t. I don’t even think these people looked up the company itself, or received any ratings on it or anything. They got sold the dream of making millions by IM Academy, and now they’re so knee deep into the “dream”, that they couldn’t handle what I told them. I got kicked out the group chat, and ever since then I just wanted to get this off my chest. What a bunch of losers they were, LOL! I hope they have fun getting scammed out of their time and money for as long as that company can stay afloat.
[OFFER] Y'all giving out girlfriends but no one is offering boyfriends. I will be your online boyfriend for $100
submitted by PM_ME_M0NEY to slavelabour [link] [comments]
I am the hero you need. I have chest hairs. Many many chest hairs. PM for Paypal address.
EDIT: Really? You guys are really going to make me beg and grovel for online love and lower my rates to $5? What happened to Secret Santa? What happened to lonely rich daughters of Arab Emirs who would venmo you $1000 just to receive a smiley emoji? What happened to MILFs with platinum cards ready to doll out $$$ to (cough cough) handsome anonymous redditors? Where are the freakin bid comments on this once-in-a-lifetime amazing and super discounted offer? Is this what humanity has been reduced to?
EDIT2: My hopes and dreams of purchasing a private jet based on the generosity of the wonderful ladies of reddit have been shot down (The hopes have been shot down. Not the jet. Big Difference) by the hamfistedness of the same target audience. Isorait. Isokey. I will keep my PM open just in case the stray reddit millionaire or Fortune500 lurker passes by. We are doing this for love my people. FOR LOVE!
EDIT3: This post has taken away my Gold virginity. Unfortunately, the same cannot be said about the other virginity that I was trying to get rid of. I am happy that I got slavelabour
to the frontpage and everyone who has PMd me has been a delight. And yes, I will make a random $5 gig next week Saturday for all those who were offering to buy me 'coffee' for making them laugh so Bookmark, save post or use your reminder bot to check me out next week Saturday. That's all folk :-)
FINAL EDIT: Here is the Gig I promised you guys last week http://www.reddit.com/slavelaboucomments/edc8rc/offer_i_will_teach_you_how_to_trade_forex_for_the/ Blessings
Worst Trader Signals: Signal Master
Just wanted to give you guys a note there is a very popular signal provider who goes by Forex Signal Master, he’s got around 20,000 people in his free channel and advertises crazy pictures of success and wins. submitted by ViolentedKao to Forex [link] [comments]
He consistently loses almost all his trades and just posts adverts and free signals. He follows up on free signals that win but barely any that lose so he’s giving maybe 10 signals and then replying about the success in 3 of them with stupid emojis. Just beware guys.
Forex Scam " Game Changers " Exposed/Review
submitted by ScamExposed85 to u/ScamExposed85 [link] [comments]
Towards the start of 2019, i came across this person who followed me on instagram who had a lot of forex posts. As an naive, ambitious person with big goals, I wanted to expand my network and see opportunities. I hit up a guy to tell me about this opportunity. I met up 3 people and met their leader Wasiq Zia.
His friends later quit, around the same time I quit and told me Wasiq Zia HAS LIED ABOUT all his results and manipulated them. I got started the same day as the opportunity sounded amazing. I was part of this scam for over 6 months, and made no money. I had an organization of over 50 people. When I walked away, i still had a good amount of people and could lead it to a profitable network marketing business, but the 6 months i was in this organization had traumatized me and ethically & morally I couldn't continue. All the lies, they used to keep everyone brainwashed. Some of my friends i had gotten in this with me also became very depressed finding out all the lies.
I was putting so much money in my forex and everyday their signals were making me lose money, and doing DoorDash food deliveries to support this venture. I did everything they told me to do, house event, put on my face on stories every day. Dm'd 500+ people, uploaded pictures every couples day. When i found all the lies and that no one was actually making money through Forex, i became very suicidal. As I had lost friends, and even my family did not like who I was becoming, as I was always show boating on instagram. The truth about network marketing is that IT IS NOT a 300$ admission to having your own business. You need at least 5 figures saved so you can invest in followers, gucci/ LV stuff so people think your ballin' through Forex, but your simply capping. THEIR SIGNALS DO NOT WORK, i will explain at the end why they did not work. Please please if you do meet them up. Do yourself a favor, ask them to go to their forex account show you at least 1 months trading history. Preferably 3-4 months. It only makes sense for you to see something real. AND please make sure you see the tag on the MT4 app which says "Real' in a gold emblem/ sign.
Here are some of the lies, Rakan Khalifa, Lily Zaremba, Lina (iam_lina1), Emmanuel major, Kaine Harriott.
1) First and foremost their followers are fake. I dont know how delusional lina is to take herself from a few thousand to nearly 50 thousand followers and thinking it looks real. Kaine Harriott has gone from 12.3k fake followers to 67.3k fake followers since checked his profile about a week ago. While i was there, i was also told to get into this fake follower game by Wasiq Zia.
2) Ig.doust (real forex coach) recently exposed Lina, Emmanuel Major and melissa of having a "Free Telegram Forex channel" where they would copy and paste Ig.doust forex signals for his company. These guys do not understand forex and this proved it. I had previously thought Emmanuel Major was good at Forex but the fact that they were illegally stealing ig.doust forex signals proved how illiterate they are.
3) This isn't a lie I am about to expose. Game changers have had to move away from Canada, and explore markets in different countries to scam. A guy named Mathew Fernandez, ig: mfernz57 left Kuvera first week of 2020(He joined Kuvera Mid-2018). He left with his entire team of 600+people preaching 'morals over money' due to all the lies, scamming, and brainwashing in Kuvera/game changers. Their name is tarnished across Toronto, Mississauga, Brampton and other cities in the Greater Toronto Area in Ontario.
4) Lily once lead a campaign showing how she made 10k Cad in one day of trading. Anyone who understood forex and saw her performance knew she was crazy. She was using insane leverage, she was doing this for months and months and would show how(on our leadership chats) on a regular day she would be a couple thousand in the negatives. Using the leverage she was, she was simply playing with her luck, well she did "win" 10k in 1 day. Well, I am here to expose this bullshit. Did you know she then went on to blow her entire account away literally a few days later.
5) Kuvera got a new owner in October 2019. A lot of people quit since then, teams in a whole country(Mexico, Japan, Singapore etc) all quit. I am not 100% sure but I believe the compensation plan was brutally changed. Also they had changed their titles on what they were earning, now Rakan Khalifa was a 100k/month earner and Mathew Fernandez was a 50k/month earner. Mathew Fernandez told us that he was getting paid 3k/month in reality
. All this was just manipulation tactics. "I make upto 100k/month" is not a thing. Like who sets these caps to income? These were just manipulation tactics.
6) Now Anthony Napolitano (itzanthonynap) has a Forbes article on him. Well, unless you are Elon Musk, Forbes will not write on you. So how is this possible? Just go on fiver and search up "Get published on Forbes" and you can talk to a Forbes writer. When you have less money to spend, you buy the 300$ package to get published on forbesindia as Anthony did. You can get published on Forbes.com
as well but you need $5k+. Why these articles are bullshit as when you search "Anthony napolitano", this article will never pop up as when Forbes legitimately writes on you, they post on social media and people actually go on it, therefore google recommends this article. As for Anthony's article, it will never pop up unless you search, "Anthony Napolitano Forbes" or directly get the link. The forbes article is simply to brag and further add to his manipulation tactics.
7) If you want more dirt on these guys, if i haven't provided enough. Here are some notable people who are ex-Kuvera members. They quit following Mathew Fernandez "morals over money" slogan. They are, Joshua Baril (ig: joshuanatsu) , rahaman waheed (ig: rahamanwaheed), and Basil Paul Varghese (basil_paul_varghese). They are now in a different company under Mathew Fernandez.
8) THE REASON THE SIGNALS DO NOT WORK: What these guys do is put TP 1 at 20 Pips, and TP3 at 100-200 Pips. But Stop loss will be at 200+ pips. So essentially, you are risking 20%+ of your account for 1 trade. Let’s say it hits TP1, and then hits SL. The result on their portfolio will be, ‘we hit TP1’. Pairs don’t just go in 1 direction in a straight line, it kind of goes up and down, and more so In a particular direction. So what I’m getting at is that they can never be wrong, because it’ll always hit TP1, due to a pairs roller coaster like movement. They’ll make stop losses really big, so by the time it gets there, it at least gets a few Pips in there favour and they’ll take that credit. Essentially a pair will either end of its movement being a sell, or a buy, and if they luckily got the right call, there portfolio will say, “caught 200+pips”, however you probably cashed out at 20 pips, in fear of it reversing. And when you keep getting 20 pips profits and after a couple, you actually hit a stop loss, there goes all your money. But there results will always be positive. It’s a genius scam. The worst part is, you can buy many many signals online, but all these signal chats, have the same trade signals fluctuating in all the group chats. It’s the exact same pairs, same numbers, everything, lol some don’t even change the emojis. These scammers make absurd amounts of money through their scams, hence allowing them a lavish, marketable lifestyle.
I have been writing this for an hour and I hope this helps you. Please Please, do not fall for their scam, I have lost sleep, been depressed, and lost enough money. I was doing around 20 hours DoorDash/week to fund forex and then lose it all. I would not have money for food. For months and months I survived on a 4$/day diet.
To end it off on a good note,i am doing a lot better financially and mentally. I do not recommend Mathew Fernandez team as well. If you truly believe 'money over morals' why did you leave only when your pay got slapped.
I believe most of these guru's are full of shit and do not care about you, ex. Kevin David, one of the biggest online scammers, he has enough dirt on him online. YouTuber Coffeezilla has exposed most of these popular e-commerce, forex gurus.
If this does get viewed, get comments I will release more proof on Kuvera/Game changer's scam. I have a month or two of chat history in their leadership chats.
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submitted by CaesarNaples2 to copypastapublishin [link] [comments]
How my friend's new boyfriend recruited her into the cult called imarketslive
I've been noticing my friends back in my hometown are getting into financial based MLMs. One of them have gotten way too into it that she moved to a different state with her new boyfriend who's involved in imarketslive for 5-6 years. submitted by GothBunnyClique to antiMLM [link] [comments]
A little bit of back story, when we were in elementary to middle school, our families were involved in a ponzi scheme. It was later resolved and sent the three head honchos to jail for 20 years each. While that was happening, her mom was involved in an MLM.
Before this new bf (let's call him Fred) showed up in her (Chelsea) life, she was in a 4 year relationship with Justin. I hung out with them quite frequently when I had vacation from university. Both were also students though different schools. They did not have the best relationship. They constantly argued especially since Justin has some anger management issues and Chelsea claims to have OCD (I think she has high anxiety at least). They would hit each other and Justin would emotionally abuse Chelsea. For example, he would go on the side of the read to threaten his own life by running into the freeway. Chelsea would feel trapped and couldn't fully express herself without Justin getting angry.
Despite this abusive relationship, they made great sacrifices to be together like commuting 1-2hrs to school to live together. They were not financially stable. Justin would spend a lot on anime stuff and Chelsea would go out a lot. Eventually, they decided to join AMWAY which we all know is not a good idea. Anyway, Chelsea always wanted to have her own business so she dropped out of uni to dedicate her time in being a waitress and a "business owner".
Finally after 4 years, she broke up with him and Amway. I thought things were going well for her and she even said she wanted to go back to school. Until... she met this new piece of shit. When I first met Fred (they only dated for a week at this point), I thought he was just a chill dude who had positive energy. Just like a good friend does, after I hung out with Chelsea and Fred I snooped into his Facebook and saw he was part of a financial MLM called imarketslive (IML). The worst part was that I saw he tagged Chelsea in a IML convention in Las Vegas. So I thought, "oh shit, she's part of ANOTHER MLM". And likewise, I told her in person the next day that she's part of a pyramid scheme. Then her response truly disturbed me.
Chelsea responded, "everything is a pyramid scheme. This what makes me happy".
You know I was so shocked. I just responded.. "okay, as long as you're happy. I just wanted to watch out for you".
The conversation about IML ended there. My other friends and my parents told me not to convince her that it's a bad idea because she's attached to this new guy.
This is what I observed about Fred based on his social media accounts. He is painfully positive. Like he gets preachy about positivity. He does facebook lives to tell people to achieve their dreams by getting wealthy. Because apparently, everyone's dream is just to get a lot of money. Not saying that's wrong at all (hell, I want to be rich too). He also is into those motivational speakers especially if they are involved with IML like Les Brown. He believes that forex trading/crypto exchange can help change people's lives. He tries to sell IML's overpriced apps ($200+ a month). And of course with everything fucking MLM, he uses these emojis 😜💥🤔👌🔥💯 and takes them seriously.
So why is my friend dating him? Well, she thinks that Fred is a hard working person with a stupid smile. He also recruited her and now she is an "entrepreneur" #BOSSBABE. After dating for like 4 months, they moved to Arizona to spread the fucking "message" about IML.
Now they have a large group of people they work with. They always host talks about how IML is a "family" but weirdly never about Forex trading or crypto exchange. They workout and go to church together. They do everything together which is weird. Chelsea claims she's finding herself but really she's in this cult and behaves like everyone else.
I think one of the grossest aspects about IML is how they exploit minorities and encourage them to "flex" or have a luxurious lifestyle. I saw on her snapchat about a recent convention in Dallas and most people were Hispanic, African-Americans or Southeast Asian (like her and I). Most of the higher-ups that were speaking were either those races and had some wort of branded luxury accessory like a Gucci belt. Fred has these Gucci slip-on sneakers and that's about it. It also seems like the group of people Fred and Chelsea are always with try to humble brag about how they used to be poor and now they claim to make 6 figures.
Now, Fred and Chelsea constantly post about positive quotes and financial stability advice (lmao). I don't reach out to Chelsea anymore because I do not agree with her lifestyle and I am a non-believer in IML and God. So apparently, I am a negative force. I've known her for 14 years and she became a completely different person because of this stupid cult-like MLM. She used to think things through properly, but I think after her abusive ex she thinks Fred is her light and soul.
TLDR; My friend was involved with Amway with and abusive ex and dropped out of school. Broke up and started to live her life again. Met a douche-bag 6 months later who recruited her to imarketslive which caused them to move to Arizona to recruit more people and be more into the cult-like MLM. She doesn't want to talk to me anymore because I do not agree with IML.
My 1 year on NOFAP/NOPMO Failure with benefits…
submitted by CuteRelease to NoFap [link] [comments]
Hello guys i hope this story is not going to take your time more than 10 mintues, but believe me every second will be worth of it. So i wanted to share my story of 1year nofap, my life before starting nofap, while i was on nofap the good, the bad … i started this challenge 23 august 2018 and to be honest with you guys it was hard and somehow i failed. Yes i did ejaculate , yes i did edge and hell yes i watched porn but i still saw some benefits and still learned something. But before i continue with my story i want to tell you that the reason why i want to share my story with you is because i don’t see people posting videos that they failed on this journey at least maybe on their 1st attempt, they all seem like they are succeeding on their first attempt, and i am not saying that is not possible, but i want to support guys who started the journey and they failed just like me. so here we go… i started my journey on 23.august.2018 and i still remember my last time that i watched porn hard before starting this journey and that happened 2 days before i started nofap.( I remember masturbating and than feeling really low energy and i started searching on youtube if Masturbating kills your gains, or does masturbating effects your growth of muscles, because i was a person who wanted to have a nice body and i used to workout at the gym but i wasn’t building muscles or gaining weight. I am 187 cm or 6.1 foot long and i was always a skinny guy, i had 75-78 Kg average not to skinny but not even like a regular person compared to how i was trying to lift. So after searching on youtube i found nofap challenge, and believe me i was so interested to know about this nofap challenge so i watched a ton of nofap videos that are on youtube and i saw many people explaining the dark side of masturbating and watching porn and the life changing benefits that you can get from NOFAP/NOPMO … and that is the moment where i realized that porn and masturbating made my life shit, i had anxiety, i was very very very unconfident guy, i was low energy, not motivated, not having balls to approach any girl that i liked etc…. So before talking to the benefits that i have seen or i have felt i will tell you shortly how my life was 3-4 years before i started nofap. I was in a relationship with a girl in my high school since march 2012 until we broke up on november 2016, just trying to explain shortly… so 4 years in a relationship, but on our 3rd year things were getting wrong, we were not happy with our relationship and many other relationship problems, but i remember on that year i used to watch porn a lot, and i remember after going out with her, whenever i came back at home i used to watch porn and masturbate, somehow i wasn’t feeling the joyful moment with her compared to how i was feeling with porn. And almost 1 year later we broke upppp, so my point of this story is that porn destroyed my relationship, within a year, porn it’s a slow killer and you just won’t notice it, you see things in life not going well but you will never notice its because of porn, as much as depressed you are as much as porn you are going to look. Because that;s the only thing that can make your dopamine get higher, or maybe it is the only thing that takes your problems away for a short period of time. I remember i was trying to study hard for my exams, i was in faculty of mechanical enginnering but everytime i was trying to learn more than 1 hour i was feeling very sleepy and very low energy, so every time i was feeling low energy i used to watch porn and masturbate, i didn’t know that porn was the problem, I was just bored and low energy so i decided let’s watch some porn. I continued like this for more than 1/2 year Until i ended on youtube looking for masturbating side effects and ended up finding NOFAP. By the way since i broke up with my girlfriend i never had any other girlfriend, i liked a girl on my university but because of anxiety i was never able to approach her, even though she semmed to like me but still i had no balls to talk to her even when we were walking in front of each other in the opposite direction, and guess what ? She is in a relationship now and i really felt bad when i saw her with her boyfriend walking and holding their hands together. I said to myself, look what porn did to me, look what you lost because of anxiety and being so unconfident, i really felt like a failure a really sad moment…. but at least i was able to graduate from my university. Soo now let’s start telling you about my nofap journey. But before i start ,if you start nofap you have to have goals or ask yourself what is your goal to achive with nofap/nopmo, why are you doing this ? If your answer is because i am bored with my life, i want a better life … It’s okey but have goals first, because if you start with no goals you may be on a 2 months strike and if you are not having any benefit, you will quit. My goal on nofap is to increase confidence. THATS IT… Why confidence? Because being confident is all you need. Girls loveee confident guys, in fact everybody loves confident people. And as i am a forex trader, confidence is much much needed when trading. So i started my nofap challenge on 23.august.2018, it was great on my first 5-6 days, because i could go without ejaculating for 4-5 days even when i was not doing nofap. But after day 7 i started feeling the need of masturbating, and instead of masturbating i started edging, i was touchin my dick and using my imagination and i was able to feel good … So after day 7, almost every day i was edging but i was not feeling the need of looking at porn and i said myself why do people struggle so much getting rid of porn? It was easy for me not to look at porn on that first month. No changes, not even feeling anything better, the only change i saw was Women attraction. Yes even though i was not feeling anything better inside me, not even looking better anything, girls/womans were looking at me, they were turning they head to look at me and i said to myself wooow, how i am attracing girls/boys/people/mean/woman without feeling anything better. But it was because of holding my sement on my body and not ejaculating. So if you don’t throw/waste that sement, if you don’t throw it away, girls-womans even guys will look at you more, they will feel your power. Guys will say wow he is cool, and womans will say wow he is a real man. That’s just the point of why sement makes you more attractive to people, it makes you more masculine, but the benefit of sement preservation doesn’t stop here, belive me since i started nopmo i started gaining wheight, i was skinny and people that are fat when they start nopmo they are more likely to lose weight, so benefits in both people skinny or fat it doesn’t matter, i am more powerful at gym, my knees don’t crackle like they used to… and do you know why ?? Because of that powerfull minerals, vitamins, nutritions that we used to through it cheaply with masturbation.. now is hold and used in my body. So the first benefit was women attraction… So my second benefit is actually not masturbating, and if you are saying wtf is this guy saying, just think for a second, I am not wasting my time every day for 1 hour to watch porn, opening multiple tabs of porn to watch, i am using that time on other stuff to do , so that is a worth mentioning benefit. My third benefit was that i had more energy to do things, and more power to train harde lift heavier. Before i finish, i found my key to not watch porn anymore and not edge or masturbate. I don’t know how much you guys are religious buy i made a promise to god, that i won’t ever watch porn and masturbate anymore. (I know it sound dumb to some people but since that day i never even thought of doing POM because i would feel so shame on myself that i broke my promise to god for a short imagination of happiness).
Before i started nofap my confidence on a scale from 0 to 10 was -8, yeap -8 so unconfident… And now that i am on nofap my confidence is like -3… still not confident but i won;t give up. I know good days will come ! On my photos RED cross means (Realpse, sometimes with Porn), a weat dream is with a blue circle or a sleepy emoji.
Little suggestion: Stop getting to day 0 after a relapse, just continue the journey just like i did, and you will get to a point that you will look and will say “I only relapsed 3 times last month compared to when i was on PMO and that’s a good sign of a good life that will come to you”.
If you are horny and you want to relapse, just think how shit your life is. Try it and feel like a piece of shit and remember that moment, so when you get horny again after a long streak just remember how you felt last time after a relapse, and that will make you to go stronger. Lastly even when you see and feel the benefits, this NoPMO lifestyle it’s so hard when you have urges so you don’t even care about benefits, but if you resist you will level up my friend. It’s up to you guys ! STAY STRONG
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